success rate low
For the 9 top ten picks of goalie only 3 have played more than 500 games at the NHL level. So that makes the success rate only 33%. It does seem that hockey is not unique in this respect, as of the 43 first round quarterback picks by NFL teams only 13 have been successful for a rate of 30%.
What is weirder is even though the Canadian Major Jr league is heavily scouted, the success rate has not been that great, here is the chart from Hockey or Die
| League | # of Picks | lt 100 | 100GP | 500+GP | Success Rate |
| Major Jr. | 66 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 59.1% |
| Everywhere Else | 34 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 73.5% |
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